NFL Articles

How I Coded An NFL ATS Analysis System

The NFL is engineered chaos. Lines whip, narratives crash, and any model that can’t adapt dies by Week 3. So we built a five‑model committee that argues, learns, and reweights itself every game. XGBoost takes big swings when volatility hits, LightGBM keeps us centered, Random Forest plays adult in blowouts, Logistic Regression tracks sharp money, and Gradient Boosting rides momentum. Their influence isn’t fixed; it shifts in real time with recent performance, matchup context, and what the market is actually doing.

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